英文摘要

Grand Strategy， General Environment， and Great Power Relations—Chinese Diplomacy at Seventy： Review and Outlook （Part One）

SIIS Study Group

Abstract： Beginning in January 2019， the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies—where this journal is published—has convened ten seminars marking the seventieth anniversary of PRCs founding and its diplomacy. Following each seminar a concluding report is released dealing with a certain subject in Chinas diplomacy， such as theory， practice， context， strategy， neighborhood， and so on. In this first report， foreign policy experts conduct a survey of Chinas strategic environment and the characteristics of great power diplomacy. It argues that in an era of great transformation and transition， Chinas diplomacy vis-à-vis other great powers has to conform to the grand trends of the times and take full advantage of strategic opportunities. Either with America， Japan， Russia， or Europe， only an cooperative posture and positive-sum mentality can generate productive relationships and help maintain world stability. For an emerging modern power moving closer to the center of the world stage， multilateralism-oriented great power cooperation in rules-based global governance will lay the foundations for a better world featuring peace， prosperity， and progress.

Keywords： Chinas diplomacy， international environment， doctrine， great power relations， transition

On Strategic Stability in Cyberspace

ZHOU Hongren

Abstract： Building a sustainable cyber order compatible with the current international order is the biggest challenge facing international society as the strategic importance of cyber security increases. Maintaining strategic stability is of utmost importance as consensus among great powers over acceptable cyber behavior rarely exist. International cyber governance and cyber strategic stability maintenance have become two of the emerging scientific fields in international studies. Cyberspace is either stable， delicately stable， or unstable， the three states of strategic stability. Cyber stability is better studied from a cyclic perspective with the aim of designing robust institutions against instability. International norms， rules， and regulations are essential standards for cyber conduct. Frameworks of human knowledge and scientific theories are also helpful with respect to academic research on cyber strategic stability. An international order conducive to cyber strategic stability can only be built after effective dialogues and joint studies based on shared interests which shape individual countries cyber strategies.