目前,中國(guó)各省份正陸續(xù)公布今年前三季度經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行情況。據(jù)不完全統(tǒng)計(jì),截至2015年10月21日,全國(guó)已有北京、上海、廣東等14個(gè)地區(qū)公布了前三季度GDP數(shù)據(jù),其中,重慶以11%的增速位居第一,而北京和上海的增速則低于全國(guó)水平。
國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局19日公布的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,前三季度GDP為487774億元,按可比價(jià)格計(jì)算,同比增長(zhǎng)6.9%。此后,各地陸續(xù)公布前三季度經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行情況。
據(jù)不完全統(tǒng)計(jì),截至10月21日,北京、上海、廣東、重慶、天津、浙江、四川、貴州、湖北、湖南、河南、云南、甘肅、青海等14個(gè)省份的前三季度GDP數(shù)據(jù)均已出爐。
在這14個(gè)省份中,與全國(guó)水平相比,僅北京和上海前三季度GDP增速低于全國(guó)水平,分別為6.7%和6.8%,其余地區(qū)GDP增速均高于全國(guó)水平。
在這14個(gè)省份中,重慶前三季度GDP增速最高,達(dá)11%,貴州以10.8%的增速排名第二,這兩地也是目前僅有的前三季度GDP增速依舊保持兩位數(shù)的地區(qū)。
與上半年經(jīng)濟(jì)增速相比,廣東、貴州、湖北、湖南、河南、云南、青海等多地前三季度GDP增速出現(xiàn)回升。其中,廣東前三季度GDP增速為7.9%,比上半年提高0.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn),河南和青海前三季度GDP增速均比上半年提高0.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn),回升幅度較大。
此外,一些地區(qū)前三季度GDP增速則較上半年出現(xiàn)回落,其中,北京和浙江前三季度GDP增速均比上半年回落0.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn),上海前三季度GDP增速比上半年回落0.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。
浙江統(tǒng)計(jì)局在發(fā)布數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)表示,目前國(guó)際國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境復(fù)雜嚴(yán)峻,經(jīng)濟(jì)分化態(tài)勢(shì)較為明顯,部分企業(yè)生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營(yíng)困難,市場(chǎng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)隱患尚存,實(shí)現(xiàn)全年預(yù)期目標(biāo)還需付出更大努力。
媒體注意到,在近日舉行的部分省(區(qū)、市)負(fù)責(zé)人經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)座談會(huì)上,國(guó)務(wù)院總理李克強(qiáng)對(duì)地方經(jīng)濟(jì)作出了判斷和要求:“地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)走勢(shì)呈現(xiàn)分化”“要充分發(fā)揮中央和地方兩個(gè)積極性”“對(duì)懶政怠政和不作為的干部要嚴(yán)肅追責(zé)”。
事實(shí)上,近日,多地相繼召開會(huì)議部署四季度經(jīng)濟(jì)工作,各省份大都提到經(jīng)濟(jì)下行壓力較大,并部署了一系列穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)措施。
河南前三季度GDP增速較上半年回升,但河南在10月19日的省政府常務(wù)會(huì)議中指出,河南經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)逐步好轉(zhuǎn),但是回升向好的基礎(chǔ)還不穩(wěn)固,下行壓力依然很大,要“全力沖刺,堅(jiān)決打贏穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)保態(tài)勢(shì)攻堅(jiān)戰(zhàn)”,并要求“鞏固擴(kuò)大房地產(chǎn)業(yè)回暖勢(shì)頭”“加快重大項(xiàng)目建設(shè)進(jìn)度”。
廣東提出,做好四季度經(jīng)濟(jì)工作,要抓好基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)。加快財(cái)政資金支出進(jìn)度,沒有開工的要千方百計(jì)抓緊開工,在建項(xiàng)目要盡力加快推進(jìn);湖北則提出,全力打好穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)、保目標(biāo)的攻堅(jiān)戰(zhàn),在三大需求中重點(diǎn)抓投資,狠抓重大項(xiàng)目招商引資、簽約落地和建設(shè)推進(jìn)。
民生證券宏觀研究員朱振鑫對(duì)中新網(wǎng)表示,由于四季度GDP占全年GDP比重較高,中央和地方勢(shì)必將繼續(xù)加大穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)和改革力度,預(yù)計(jì)隨著穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)和改革措施發(fā)揮作用,四季度經(jīng)濟(jì)將略有回升。
Chongqing Ranks NO.1 in Growth Rate Many Regions Improve Economic Index in the Fourth Quarter to Assure a Stable Growth Momentum
Currently,provinces of China are releasing figures of their economic performance in the first three quarters of the year.And according to incomplete statistics,by the end of Oct.21st,2015,GDPs of 14 regions including Beijing,Shanghai,Guangdong in the past quarters had been released,among which Chongqing’s GDP ranked NO.1 with an 11% growth rate while those of Shanghai and Beijing were below the national average.
Chongqing boasts the highest GDP growth rate in the first three quarters and Guizhou ranks the second
According to the statistics issued by NBS on Oct.19th,the GDP for the first three quarters was as large as 4.87774 trillion yuan,with a year-on-year increase of 6.9% based on comparable prices.Since then,statistics of other regions of the country had been posted.
According to incomplete statistics by Oct.21st,GDP figures of 14 provinces had been published,including those of Beijing,Shanghai,Guangdong,Chongqing,Tianjin,Zhejiang,Sichuan,Guizhou,Hunan,Henan,Yunnan,Gansu,and Qinghai.
Among them,only Beijing and Shanghai’s GDP growth rate—6.7% and 6.8% respectively—were below the national average while others were higher than the national average.
With a growth rate for the first three quarters registered 11%,Chongqing ranked at the top among the 14 provinces just followed by Guizhou,whose GDP growth rate was 10.8%.And these two are so far the only regions in China that have maintained a double-digit growth rate in the first three quarters of the year.
GDP growth rate of many regions in the first threequarters are picking up from the past half year
Compared with the past half year,there was a rising tendency in GDP of many regions including Guangzhou,Guizhou,Hubei,Hunan,Henan,Yunnan,Qinghai,etc.Among them,Guangdong’s GDP growth rate for the first three quarters was 7.9%,an increase of 0.2% compared to the past half year.And those of Henan and Chongqing increased by 0.4 %,well rebounded.
In addition,some regions were found a decrease in GDP growth rate of the first three quarters compared to the past half year,among which,Beijing and Zhejiang’s GDP growth rate decreased by 0.3% while that of Shanghai fell by 0.2%.
On delivering the data,officials of Zhejiang Bureau of Statics said: “we are facing a complicated economic environment in which economic polarization is manifest,some enterprises hit difficulties in manufacturing and operation and the market risks remains.Much more efforts have to be paid in order to achieve the annual goals.”
The press noticed that Li Keqiang,premier of the state council,had made his statement on the meetings on economic situations with regional leaders: “The regional economy tends to present polarity and we must give full play to the motivation of both central and local government.Where there is leader who neglect of their duties,there must be accountability.
Making efforts to maintain Econmic work and Springt on the 4th quarter
In fact,recently many regions have witnessed conferences on economic work in the fourth quarter.Many provinces have deployed a series of measures to maintain a stable economic growth momentum on the basis of the downward pressure on economy,as is already noted by them.
Henan showed a rising tendency in its GDP growth rate of the first three quarters compared to the past half year.However,officials on the provincial government executive meeting on Oct.19th pointed out that,in spite of the gradual resurgence,the momentum remained unsteady and the downward pressure on economy was still great and so that they needed to work really hard in order to win this tough battle of safeguarding a stable growth momentum.What’s more,it’s also needed to keep and amplify the rebounding momentum in real estates as well as to accelerate the development of major projects.
Officials of Guangdong province observed that if they wanted to do a great job in the economic work of the fourth quarter,great attention should be attached to the construction of infrastructures.They will speed up the progress of fiscal expenditure and by all efforts push forward the construction of projects not launched yet.And officials in Hubei said that they would focus on the investment demand among the three major demands (consumption demand,investment demand and foreign demand),the investment attraction,check-in and construction of major projects in this battle of maintaining growth momentum and achieving desired goals.
According to Zhu Zhenxin,a macro researcher of Minsheng Securities,in view of the proportion that the GDP of the forth quarter shares in the annual GDP,the central government and local government will continue to enhance economic stability and reform.It is expected that the economy will usher in a slight upswing as the measures concerning economic stability and reform play an efficient role.